It has been almost 2 years since the news of the global oil-price collapse came. 2014 was a year marked by a price shock which was around $100/barrel (peak prices at that time), which had fallen to $60/barrel by the end of the year.
Now, even though the prices seem to be increasing, it is difficult to say if that will return to sustained levels above $70 per barrel any time soon.
With the news of the price drop, I couldnโt help to notice that the industry reacted to this event same as the individual reacts to the news of a grief. According to the Kรผbler-Ross model of stages of grief, the five stages are denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance.
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The industry responded by experiencing the five stages of grief:
- Denial: โI donโt think this is here to stay. Itโs just a glitch!โ
- Anger: โThis is all OPECโs fault and their decision. We are pumping the same amount!โ
- Bargaining: โIf only we had taken steps for returns from the start, not growth.โ
- Depression: โThere seems to be no improvement on the prices. We canโt expect profits when the cash flow is still dropping.โ
- Acceptance: โI guess weโd better formulate some steps to ride this out for as long as it takesโ (current view of most players)
I think the Kรผbler-Ross model can be challenged. Stage five doesnโt have to be just acceptance in this case; it can be the determination to bring about the change in the process to stabilize and enhance the savings.
The organization should refuse to accept this inevitability; instead seize the opportunity to the fullest. The industry can look at the low prices of their product as an opportunity for the procurement professionals. They should embed procurement best practices to ensure effective and better savings.
Read our latest whitepaper โSaving is a Suite Habitโ to identify 5 ways the oil and gas industry can transform procurement to boost savings and profits.
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